Towards a new commodity supercycle (Analysis)
Rising commodity prices are leading bank analysts and policy makers to question whether resurgent commodity demand and insufficient supply will create a new commodity supercycle. Price fluctuations, of course, are as old as the business itself. A commodity supercycle is different, however. In the usual business cycle, demand drives up prices and supply increases in an attempt to capture this windfall, driving prices down again. In a supercycle, the supply is so insufficient for the growth of demand that prices rise for years or even a decade or more. Before looking at the…
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